Finland
Patryk Dziurosz-Serafinowicz
Patryk Dziurosz-Serafinowicz is Assistant Professor at University of Lodz. He received his PhD in philosophy from the University of Groningen and his PhD in law from the Jagiellonian University in Kraków. He was a visiting researcher at the University of Bristol and Stockholm University, a postdoctoral researcher in the Institute for Advanced Studies at the University of Montenegro, and a research fellow at the University of Fribourg. Dziurosz-Serafinowicz mostly writes about philosophy of probability and chance, formal epistemology, rational norms governing evidence gathering in science and legal fact-finding, and rational choice theory (in particular, causal and evidential decision theory).
One of the striking features of evidence gathering is that when we collect evidence, it can significantly matter how that evidence was collected. Scientists and philosophers of science call the effect the selection procedure has on any evaluation of hypotheses in light of evidence the observation selection effect (OSE for short). This research project aims at developing a general and unified account of scientific inference involving OSE. It employs a combination of formally oriented Bayesian philosophy of scientific inference, and practice-oriented analysis of inferences involving OSE in both empirical (e.g., physics, biology) and social sciences (e.g., law). With this combination of perspectives, we can analyse OSE conceptually as well as in its concrete scientific use.
Bayesian epistemology, decision theory, philosophy of probability